Chicago bears @ Minnesota Vikings. Sunday 6.00pm.
Under 46.5 points.
2pts @10/11. Bet365.
The last few weeks both of these teams have been involved in some high scoring matches, which I believe has helped us out here in pushing this line too high. Both sides are run heavy and when two teams like this meet the result is generally low scoring affairs. Also this is a historically low scoring divisional game, when they met earlier in the year it finished on 32 points. Previous years (which you do have to take with a pinch of salt but show a trend) have ended in 40,22,34,45,33,37,48,30,55,43,22 and 34 points going back to 2014.
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts. Sunday 6.00pm.
Darren Fells over 11.5 receiving yards.
1.5pts @ 5/6. Bet365.
I was originally looking at going over his longest reception line at 9.5 yards, but with the total just being two more that’s definitely the play. He’s gone over 11.5 yards in 9 of 11 games, the only two times he didn’t were games where he had no catch. One of those was against Indianapolis, which is the only thing that dampens enthusiasm, still more than happy to take this line though.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Atlanta Falcons. 6.00pm Sunday.
Tom Brady under 309.5 passing yards.
1.5pts @5/6. Bet365.
Going in again on Brady not hitting his yards. It’s set at 309.5 this week and although this should be a higher and more free scoring game than last week I still think it’s too high. He’s finished under this line in 9 of 13 games. I think he will get more than last weeks 196 but still don’t think he will make it over 300.
Cleveland Browns @ NY Giants. Monday 1.20am.
The Browns have really hot form the past few weeks offensively, culminating in a 47-42 loss to Baltimore. However the giants aren’t going to be able to put up anywhere near that amount of points so it comes down to how many they can restrict Cleveland to. The giants defence is okay, but Mayfield and the rest of the browns offence should still have enough to put points on the board. The giants however, for whom it’s still not clear whether it will be Jones or McCoy at QB, have so few weapons to use that regardless who’s in at QB you have to fancy Cleveland to cover a one touchdown spread.