Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers. 6.00pm Sunday.
Tom Brady under 295.5 passing yards. 3pts @ 5-6 bet365.
In 12 games this year Brady has gone over this line 5 times, under 7. However each game he has gone over (apart from one) has been a high scoring shoot-out, with both sides throwing the ball around. That’s very much not the Vikings way, who will look to use Cook a lot on the ground, eating up the clock in the process. Add to that Tampa Bay’s top two receivers have both missed practice this week (Mike Evans is particularly looking questionable) it gives this line a great look
NY Jets @ Seattle Seahawks. 9.05pm Sunday.
Chris Carson over 56.5 rushing yards. 1pt @ 5/6 bet365.
The winless Jets travel to Seattle and are very likely to remain winless. This should be simple for the Seahawks and I expect them to use Carson a lot more now that he’s getting back to full fitness. Throughout his career his yards have always been higher in both games and games that Seattle win.
New Orleans Saints @ Philadelphia Eagles. 9.25pm Sunday.
Alvin Kamara under 2.5 receptions. 2pts @ 6/5.
Taysom Hill still in at QB for saints so it’s surely going to be the same as every other he has started, low scoring old fashioned power football. Using Kamara as a catcher from the backfield doesn’t fit in to this style of play, he has only 3 receptions over the course of 3 starts for Hill.
Atlanta Falcons @ LA Chargers.
Younghoe koo over 1.5 field goals made.
2pt @ 8/11 William Hill. Koo has arguably been the best kicker in the league this season, with just one miss from 33 attempts. He’s made 2 or more in 10 of his 11 games. Against an average chargers defence the Falcons should get the ball in field goal territory on multiple occasions
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Buffalo Bills. 1.20am Monday.
Pittsburgh moneyline 1pt @ 11/10 bet365.
Also: Devin Singletary over 15.5 receiving yards. 2pts @ 5/6 bet365. I fancy the steelers to bounce back from a disappointing loss to Washington. I really think the Pittsburgh defence will be able to get to Josh Allen, almost at will and this could cause the bills offense real problems. That leads onto the Singletary bet. With TJ Watt and co getting the pressure on Allen I expect one of his few choices will be to dump the ball of quickly to the running backs. Singletary has gone over this line in 8 of his 12 games this season, and I’m expecting him to have more opportunities to do so on this occasion.