SAVE THE PUNTER

  • Home
  • podcast
  • Tips
    • Football Tips
    • Golf Tips
    • Greyhound Tips
  • Mental Health
  • P&L
  • WORLD CUP
  • Testimonials
  • Home
  • podcast
  • Tips
    • Football Tips
    • Golf Tips
    • Greyhound Tips
  • Mental Health
  • P&L
  • WORLD CUP
  • Testimonials

Newcastle v West Ham, 5th July 2020

7/2/2020

0 Comments

 

PARRIS BARRON

My second selection this weekend, at odds of 1.73 is  West Ham +0.25 Asian goals v Newcastle. A draw means a half win and I’d like to keep that onside.

The main reason I’m betting this is because Newcastle are the biggest over performers on my own metrics. If I look at the places they have their shots, where they concede them, and the decisions they make in the final third, I just can’t get them onside. They are a -4.3 on my own proprietary ratings, which is awful.

I don’t think either side would feel too hard done by if the game was a draw so it’s not a game I’m expecting to be open from the off. Recency bias may dictate that some punters want to get goals in Newcastle games onside but they only scored 1 against a porous Aston Villa and it wasn't until John Egan was sent off that they scored against Sheffield United. The game against Bournemouth was a must win for the Cherries, so it was inevitable that chances would come.

David Moyes has had enough time for his beliefs t be instilled into the players at West Ham It’s whether they buy into his magnerial philosophy or not. Luckily he’s got a good captain in Mark Noble who will be a role model in that dressing room and be a great conduit for Moyes.

They’ve got Fabianski back who is one of the best keepers in the league. Antonio is a menace up top, but only worry is goals for him and the team. But if the Hammers do get an early strike, I can see them getting a few due to  Newcastle needing to come out and attack more, knowing they can afford a cavalier attitude with Premiership football guaranteed for next season. Of course, we’re going to need Ryan Fredricks to have a very good game against Saint Maximim here.

Selections

West Ham + 0.25 @ 1.73


0 Comments



Leave a Reply.

    Archives

    January 2021
    December 2020
    July 2020
    June 2020
    August 2018
    March 2017
    February 2017
    January 2017
    December 2016

    Categories

    All
    Darts
    Football
    Golf
    Horse Racing
    Rugby Union
    Tennis

    RSS Feed

Powered by Create your own unique website with customizable templates.