After wholesale changes last time out in their 1-0 defeat to Sutton United, Garry Monk's Leeds United will only have 3 points in mind against Lancashire based rivals Blackburn Rovers. Allegedly they're taking 7,000 of their motley mob to Ewood Park.
Leeds' away record of 6-1-6 is the 7th best in The Championship. However, they've only scored as many as they have conceded (18). Pleasingly they have scored first in 10 out of their last 16 away matches.
Since Leeds converted to the 4-2-3-1 formation they have been more impressive in terms of performances and results. However, the 3-2 defeat against Barnsley on the 21st January was unexpected and acts as caution to Leeds backers today. Thankfully, the following result was a 2-0 victory, where a returning Pontus Jansson marshalled the defence superbly. Leeds concede fewer goals with him in the side.
Blackburn's only home win their last 5 was the surprise defeat of Newcastle, which is only the 2nd time they've kept a clean sheet at home. Rovers have a 4-5-5 home record, scoring 20 and conceding 22.
Rovers have won 1 of their last 8 league games, and will be relying on Danny Graham (11) and Stephen Gallacher (9) for goals.
For those looking for further value, the 3.75 on offer with Ladbrokes for Leeds -1AH is attractive, if not consistently profitable. This would have won 3, voided 5 and lost 7 times out of their 13 league matches away from Elland Road.
Alternatively, given Blackburn have drawn seven out of their last 9 matches vs top 6 teams, the 5.80 with Betfair Sportsbook for Draw/Leeds HT/FT is an option.
Forum tip emailed to members: 1 point on Leeds to win at 2.40 with Paddy Power